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There are signs that the U.S. consumer is still spending, especially on experiences. But stubbornly high prices are squeezing consumers with lower incomes, pressuring everyday purchases and corporate profits. Broadly speaking, credit card companies like American Express, Visa and MasterCard have described spending trends as "relatively strong," "relatively stable," and even "healthy." Priceline parent Booking Holdings told analysts there are no signs consumers are taking shorter vacations or trading down in their hotel choices. McDonald's added that "the consumer is certainly being very discriminating in how they spend their dollar."
Persons: Brandon Bell, Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, Morgan Stanley, Mike Stocker, Stanley Black, Decker, , Anton Pinsky, Beata Zawrzel, Laxman Narasimhan, Shack, Domino's, Pavlo Gonchar Organizations: Getty, Home Depot, Walmart, American Express, Visa, MasterCard, PayPal, Booking Holdings, Las, Port, Tribune, Service, Consumers, Whirlpool, Corp, Starbucks Corp, Nurphoto, Lightrocket Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, Las Vegas, Port of Miami, Krakow, Poland, Russia, Ukraine
Investors in Blackstone's real-estate fund asked for their money back in droves — more than $15 billion to date. Unless the real-estate market comes roaring back, analysts warn, BREIT could end up shrinking to a fraction of its current size, leaving the fund's investors holding the bag. Only 3% of BREIT's holdings are in office buildings, which have been ground zero for commercial real estate pain. Advertisement"Not all real estate is created equal," BREIT boasted in a recent letter to stockholders, "and where you invest matters." "Commercial real estate is a slow burn," Brian Moynihan, the CEO of Bank of America, recently observed.
Persons: Blackstone, , BREIT, REITs, Steve Schwarzman, Jeenah, Nate Koppikar, Craig McCann, BREIT's, Chilton, ​ ​ McCann, McCann, Horacio Villalobos, That's, Donald Trump, Robert Chang, Schwarzman, Michael Blackshire, Phil Bak, Stephen Schwarzman, Shannon Stapleton, Brian Moynihan, it's, It's Organizations: BREIT, Orso Partners, Securities Exchange Commission, Blackstone, SEC, Chilton Capital Management, SLCG Economics Consulting, Publicly, University of California, Regents, Armada Investors, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: BREIT, Lisbon, Fideres
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday reviewed the IPO of Viking , a cruise line whose market debut this week was the biggest of the year so far. And despite its hefty price tag, Cramer said he's willing to pay up for the stock. Viking stands apart from much of the competition — its ships don't have casinos, children aren't allowed, and it specifically targets a wealthy consumer. He conceded that Viking doesn't have a perfect balance sheet, but neither do the other publicly-traded cruise lines. But to Cramer, Viking deserves a premium.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, aren't, it's, Cramer , Viking, Viking's, Viking Organizations: Viking Locations: Iceland, Egypt
Average 30-year mortgage rates continue to hover around 7% after spiking up earlier this month, according to Zillow data. This means we could see mortgage rates improve somewhat as we approach fall. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Lower mortgage rates will bring more buyers onto the market, putting upward pressure on prices.
Persons: decelerating, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Investors, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron
Monday's analyst calls included an upgrade to Apple and a move in the opposite direction for athleisure giant Lululemon and electric car marker Tesla. The firm downgraded Ulta stock to equal weight from overweight, and lowered its price target to $434 per share from $612. — Brian Evans 6:30 a.m. Evercore slashes Tesla price target Evercore ISI says its forecast for Tesla stock is due for an update as headwinds from the start of the year converge and pressure the electric vehicle company. Apple stock has pulled back 12.1% in 2024 but was up 1.7% in premarket trading Monday. Lululemon stock has slipped nearly 29% in 2024 and was off 1.9% premarket Monday.
Persons: Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Barclays downgrades Ulta, Adrienne Yih, Yih, — Brian Evans, Chris McNally, McNally, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Barclays downgrades Lululemon, headwinds, LULU Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Tesla, Barclays, ISI Locations: China, Friday's, Mexico
Therefore, investors would be more incentivized to buy companies that have a strong record of dividend payments. The strategist expects more companies to add dividends payouts going forward, as firms begin to increasingly understand the appeal for investors. The stocks had to meet the following criteria: Buy-rated by Citi Research 3-year dividend per share with a compound annual growth rate above 5% Above median expected dividend growth Potential dividend per share upside Reasonable payout ratio Reasonable dividend yield One name on the list was Visa , which currently has a dividend yield of 0.7%, according to Citi Research. Semiconductor firm Lam Research also made the list, with a dividend yield of 0.9%. More than half of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy or strong buy and see a potential upside of nearly 6%.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, TD Cowen, Bryan Bergin, Riley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Citi, Fed, Citi Research's, Citi Research, Visa, LSEG, Mastercard, Semiconductor, Lam Research, Research Locations: Asia, Europe
"Stocks with stable growth typically perform best alongside decelerating economic growth." In this economic climate, Goldman is advising clients to buy stocks offering stable growth. The Wall Street bank screened Russell 1000 stocks for those with the most stable growth in earnings before taxes, depreciation and amortization on a quarterly basis over the past 10 years. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Goldman said. Industrial companies such as Waste Management and Fastenal also made the list, as well as consumer discretionary names Domino's Pizza and AutoZone .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Fastenal Organizations: Federal Reserve, Russell, PepsiCo, Colgate, Palmolive, Waste Management
Evercore ISI reiterates Tesla as in line Evercore ISI lowered its price target on Tesla to $145 per share from $155. Barclays upgrades AT & T to overweight from equal weight Barclays sees "growth quality" for the telecommunications and wireless provider. Barclays downgrades Lululemon to equal weight from overweight Barclays downgraded the maker of athleisure wear due to rising competition. "We initiate coverage of Dave Inc. with a Market Outperform rating and $70 price target representing ~65% upside from the current price." "We are upgrading GWW from EW to OW, while raising our price target from $1,000 to $1,250."
Persons: Evercore, Tesla, Jefferies, LUV, Lululemon, LULU, Dave, Oppenheimer, Instacart, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, William Blair, Eastman, Morgan Stanley, Berenberg, Melius, Price, Stephens, Grainger Organizations: Airlines, Jefferies, Southwest Airlines, Dynamics, Barclays, Dave Inc, JPMorgan, CART, Apple, Eastman Chemical, Arista Networks, Nvidia, Data, Citi Locations: Americas, China, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Kingsport , Tennessee
Sticky inflation has pushed mortgage rates up in recent months, and we likely won't see them trend down until inflation starts decelerating again. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Up (+0.23%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.48%, 23 basis points higher than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Fall Slightly (-0.11%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.42%, 11 basis points lower than last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.
Persons: decelerating, it's, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal, US, of Economic, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
So the question is, are we going to have issues if rates remain higher for longer?" But financial markets, despite a recent 5.5% selloff for the S&P 500, have largely held up amid the higher-rate landscape. Higher rates can be a good signHistory tells differing stories about the consequences of a hawkish Fed, both for markets and the economy. Higher rates are generally a good thing so long as they're associated with growth. Futures market pricing implies a fed funds rate of 4.32% by December 2025, indicating a higher rate trajectory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mandel Ngan, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Paul Volcker, David Kelly, Kelly, , Goldman Sachs, Loretta Mester Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial, Afp, Getty, LPL, Fed, Asset Management, Market, Cleveland Fed, European Union Locations: Washington , DC
The Nasdaq tumbled 2.1% on Friday as tech stocks plunged, marking its worst day since January 31. “US earnings updates this week will be key to see if they can keep topping expectations and buoying risk appetite in a higher-for-longer interest rate environment.”Tesla, Facebook-parent Meta, IBM, Microsoft and Alphabet all report first quarter earnings later this week. “Big Tech earnings may determine whether the stock market avoids its first four-week losing streak in two years,” wrote Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley on Monday. About 15% of S&P 500 companies have reported first quarter earnings, and nearly three-quarters of those companies have posted a positive earnings-per-share surprise. But investors are nervously waiting for the Magnificent Seven, those massive Tech stocks that carry an outsized portion of market weight, to report.
Persons: Monday’s, , , They’re, Tesla, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, aren’t, we’re, Dave Sekera, ” Taylor Swift’s, Apple Taylor Swift, Liam Reilly, Department ”, Post Malone, Laura He Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Nasdaq, BlackRock, Federal Reserve, Facebook, IBM, Microsoft, “ Big Tech, Tech, Companies, Nvidia, Apple, Big Tech, Bank of America, Morningstar, Department, Spotify, Poets Department, Amazon Music, Apple Music, EV, Tesla Locations: New York, Wells, China, Germany, United States, Tesla’s, Europe
Insider Today: Bad times for big cities
  + stars: | 2024-04-21 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Wall Street balked. Aslan Alphan/Getty, Tyler Le/BIThis week's dispatchNetflix's Wall Street worryAdvertisementNetflix announced last week that it had added 9.33 million subscribers in the first three months of the year, far surpassing Wall Street expectations. Wall Street did not react well to the news, sending the stock lower. How Reddit took over Google.
Persons: , Aslan Alphan, Tyler Le, What's, Rebecca Zisser, Reddit, Abrice Cofrini, — Pam Organizations: Business, Service, Netflix, Wall, Google, Getty Images, BI, McKinsey, AP, Microsoft Locations: Russia, Mexico, San Francisco, Boston, AFP
The stubbornly high inflation readings to start 2024 are good news for one group of stocks — insurance companies. Stocks to watch In general, Wall Street analysts are buying the underlying story for these insurance stocks. For a slightly different angle, Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan upgraded Hamilton Insurance Group to overweight last week. Potential downsides To be sure, there are several factors that could derail the rally for insurance stocks. Another concern is so-called "social inflation," in which legal trends or regulatory changes can drive costs higher for insurance companies.
Persons: Goldman, Robert Cox, Stocks, Goldman's Cox, Cox, Wells, Elyse Greenspan, Hamilton, HG, Greenspan, Jimmy Bhullar, Andrew McGee, McGee, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Allstate, Wall Street, PGR, Progressive, Hartford Financial Services, Hamilton Insurance Group, U.S . Insurance, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: Northbrook , Illinois, Wells Fargo
What history shows: Goldman Sachs beats earnings estimates 85% of the time, according to Bespoke Investment Group. What CNBC is watching: Bank of America shares have struggled lately, losing 5.6% this month as investors reprice rate cut expectations. Morgan Stanley is set to report earnings before the open. United Airlines is set to report earnings after the close. Thursday Netflix is set to report earnings after the close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman, Devin Ryan, Morgan, Ryan, UNH, UnitedHealth, LSEG, UAL, Leslie Josephs, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Procter & Gamble, Dara Mohsenian, Procter Organizations: Bank of America, Netflix, JPMorgan, CNBC, JMP Securities, Investment, Tuesday Bank of America, UBS, BofA, Dow Jones Industrial, Street, United Airlines, Boeing, Max, Federal Aviation Administration, San Francisco, United, Procter & Locations: Charlotte, San, U.S, China
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its conviction list of top picks in Europe and recommended investors consider a specific trading strategy given uncertainty over how much further markets can rise. However, Goldman Sachs' analysts noted that investors are "questioning how much upside is left." For those looking for stock ideas, here are two of the latest additions to Goldman Sachs' European conviction list: Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield Goldman analyst Jonathan Kownator struck a bullish tone on French commercial real estate giant Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield . Goldman Sachs has a 12-month price target of 107 euros ($115.97) on the stock, giving it potential upside of around 46.8%. "The European football championships in Germany should provide an additional boost with JCD commanding c.35% market share and its presence in Street Furniture in major cities."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Westfield Goldman, Jonathan Kownator, Kownator, Lisa Yang, JCD, Yang, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Westfield, UEFA, Paris Olympics, European Locations: Europe, Westfield, France, Spain, Germany, United Kingdom, United States, Paris, China
Wells Fargo raised its price target on Bank of America, now calling for more than 15% upside. Evercore ISI hiked its price target on the consumer products company to $150 per share from $133. Power has a $90 price target on the cloud software stock, implying shares can rally 44.5% in the next year. Forbes' $425 price target implies the stock can climb 43.1% from Wednesday's ending price. Analyst Mike Mayo raised his price target for the bank stock by $4 to $44, implying a 16.4% upside over Wednesday's close.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Clark, Javier Escalante, Escalante, KMB, — Jesse Pound, Jefferies, Portillo's, Andy Barish, Barish, — Brian Evans, Jason Gursky, Wednesday's, shakeup, Gursky, Alex Harring, Baird, William Power, — Alex Harring, Steven Forbes, Forbes, RH, BofA, Cintas, Heather Balsky, Balsky, Robinhood, Alex Markgraff, Markgraff, TD Cowen, John Blackledge, Grindr, Blackledge, It's, it's, Estee Lauder, Bryan Spillane, Spillane, Estee, Tom Ford, Joseph Greff, Greff, FanDuel, Vikram Gandhi, Gandhi, Wells, Bank of America Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Goliath Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, HSBC, Allstate, Kimberly, Staples, ISI, Citi, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Dow Jones, UC, Guggenheim, RH's, FactSet, Estee Lauder Bank of America, JPMorgan, Allstate Allstate Locations: Portillo's, Five9, Estee, New Jersey, Wednesday's
The Federal Reserve kept a steady hand on interest rates at its latest meeting, but banks are already dropping yields on certificates of deposit. Astute rate shoppers can still find a few offering rates above 5% however. However, banks are already preparing for the move by becoming a little less generous on what they pay for deposits. "Deposit pricing competition has been decelerating as banks position for the Fed to begin cutting rates at some point in 2024." You may also be able to find attractive yields if you're willing to look for CDs with odd time frames.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Morgan, Bread Financial, American Express, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial
How the Federal Reserve plans to proceed with interest rates will be in focus next week after some recent signs of hotter inflation muddied the outlook. In December, policymakers had penciled in at least three quarter percentage point rate cuts in 2024. On Friday, stocks were headed for a losing week even after the S & P 500, for example, notched a fresh closing record just this week. The chipmaker will be under increased scrutiny next week as CEO Jensen Huang takes the stage for the company's annual AI conference. TD Wealth's Vaidya anticipates four rate cuts coming in the third and fourth quarters, though he said that outlook will remain data dependent.
Persons: Sid Vaidya, Jensen Huang, Lorie Logan, Molly McGown, McGown, Brian Nick, Wealth's Vaidya, Nick, Mills, , Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nvidia, Dallas, TD Securities, Securities, McGown, Bank of America, Housing, Micron Technology, Philadelphia Fed, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services SA, Nike, FedEx, Darden Locations: U.S, NAHB
The S & P 500 Volatility Index finished the week near 15 and is in a clear three- month uptrend from its mid-December low near 12, even as the S & P 500 has gained 10% since then. In fact, Friday the market minimized the headline damage to a mere two-thirds-percent dip in the S & P 500 through its signature rotational impulse. Some indicators — such as speculators remaining net short S & P 500 futures and brokerage strategists' muted index targets — imply the helpful wall of worry is not quite fully scaled. Since then, the S & P has delivered a 16.7% annualized total return, even after two bear markets and two other severe/prolonged corrections. And the S & P is only up 7% from its high 26 months ago, hardly in thin air.
Persons: what's, Eli Lilly, Martin Marietta, Nick Colas, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Costco, pharma, Martin Marietta Materials, Vulcan, 3Fourteen Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, DataTrek, Citi
Mortgage rates have been holding steady after rising last month, and they could stay near their current levels throughout March. This means that mortgage rates will likely remain elevated for at least a few more months. But investor expectations how of Fed rate changes could impact the broader economy can push mortgage rates up or down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 6.26% last week, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Meanwhile, its financial markets are bleeding, the property market has gone up in smoke, local government debt appears alarming, and foreign investors are exiting in droves. Real estate — which was a huge part of China's economy — has been hit badly, he said. AdvertisementTravel has picked up after years of pandemic lockdownServices is another pillar of China's economy that Beijing has been trying to build up. AdvertisementThis is in part because new growth industries are not able to take the place of real estate — yet. Because the property market accounts for one-quarter of China's GDP and more than two-thirds of household wealth, its overall drag on China's economy is much greater than whatever is doing well right now.
Persons: , Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, AllianceBernstein, John Lin, Lin, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Wood Mackenzie, AllianceBerstein's Lin, Nomura, Loo Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg TV, Oxford Economics, Nomura, Oxford Locations: China, GlobalData.TS, Real, COVID, Beijing, Europe, Taiwan, South Korea
With markets on edge over the direction of inflation, a report Thursday that often flies under the economic radar is likely to take on more importance. The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices could add to evidence that inflation is stickier than some economists and policymakers had thought. Two-year inflation breakevens, or the difference between Treasury yields and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, have surged in recent days. "But I think the labor market is a lot more fragile than people think. A report Wednesday confirmed that economic growth was solid to close out 2023, with fourth-quarter GDP accelerating at a 3.2% annualized pace adjusted for seasonal factors and inflation.
Persons: Mark Zandi, Zandi, shouldn't, we're, it's, , Susan Collins, Collins, Dow Jones, Dow, Michelle Cluver, Cluver, I've Organizations: Moody's, Boston, Securities, Treasury, Fed, Labor, CPI, Dow Jones, optimist Locations: U.S
Strong economic data has pushed back expectations of when mortgage rates will drop, but experts still believe they'll go down this year. This means that mortgage rates may remain elevated for at least a few more months. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.29%, a 17-basis-point increase from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: they'll, Fannie Mae, Doug Duncan, Freddie Mac, you'll, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Walmart is cutting prices on essentials like eggs and breadInflation has cooled in recent months after soaring during the pandemic. "Some of this is the result of customer acquisition becoming more modest, and some is because of the continued financial pressure on core Walmart shoppers which is seeing them cut back on non-essential spending," he wrote. Saunders noted that lower levels of inflation would make it harder for Walmart to acquire new customers. "This essentially puts Walmart in the position of having to work far harder and more creatively to generate growth," he wrote.
Persons: Walmart's, , John David Rainey, Rainey, Neil Saunders, Saunders, Doug McMillon, McMillon, John Furner, Furner Organizations: Walmart, Service, GlobalData, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Shoppers
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley downgrades Oatly to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of the oats company and said it sees too many negative catalysts. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with Tesla despite a slew of negative data points in a recent investor survey. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by Nvidia heading into earnings later this week. Morgan Stanley initiates CG Oncology as buy Morgan Stanley said shares of the bladder cancer company are "compelling." "We initiate coverage on Morgan Stanley Direct Lending with a Buy rating and $23.50 PT.
Persons: Morgan Stanley downgrades Oatly, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Bernstein, Siri, it's, Disney, Ingersoll Rand, Rosenblatt, MSCI's, Goldman Sachs, Wolfe, Piper Sandler, Riley, Grainger, Northcoast, JPMorgan downgrades Holley Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Disney, RBC, Aerospace, BAE Systems, Caterpillar, SMCI, Deutsche Bank, JetBlue, Alaska Air, ASM, Health, BrightSpring Health, Brunswick Corporation, Barclays, JPMorgan, Mizuho, Oncology, UBS, Morgan, Fund, Seaport, Booking Holdings, " Bank of America, AIG, Bank of America, General Insurance Locations: Silicon Valley, Alaska, Brunswick, MIBS, Texas, Europe, Asia
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